{"id":5580,"date":"2017-10-26T14:10:53","date_gmt":"2017-10-26T21:10:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.skepticalraptor.com\/skepticalraptorblog.php\/?p=5580"},"modified":"2018-10-16T14:33:17","modified_gmt":"2018-10-16T21:33:17","slug":"simple-math-vaccines-700000-childrens-lives","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.skepticalraptor.com\/skepticalraptorblog.php\/simple-math-vaccines-700000-childrens-lives\/","title":{"rendered":"It’s simple math \u2013 vaccines saved 700,000 children’s lives"},"content":{"rendered":"

In 1994, the Vaccines for Children program (VFC)<\/a> was created by a Federal budget authorization<\/a>\u00a0in direct response to a measles resurgence in\u00a0the United States\u00a0<\/span>that caused tens of thousands of cases and over a hundred deaths, despite the availability of a measles vaccine since 1963. The net effect of the VFC program was\u00a0that it provided (and continues to provide)\u00a0vaccines to children whose families or caregivers couldn’t otherwise afford them, such as those who are\u00a0uninsured or Medicaid eligible. These are vaccines that have saved 700,000 children’s lives.<\/p>\n

It was one of America’s great social healthcare programs in the history of the USA. VFC had an immediate and positive effect on the health of America’s children.<\/p>\n

VFC Program<\/h2>\n

“Thanks to the VFC program, children in our country are no longer at significant risk from diseases that once killed thousands each year,” said previous CDC Director\u00a0Tom Frieden<\/span>, M.D., M.P.H.\u00a0 “Current outbreaks of measles in the U.S. serve as a reminder that these diseases are only a plane ride away. Borders can’t stop measles, but vaccination can.”<\/p>\n

Today,\u00a0well over 90% of children in kindergarten are vaccinated<\/a>. But back in the late 1980’s, vaccine uptake was low because of the cost of vaccines (and the lack of health insurance to pay for it throughout large groups of Americans), which lead to the measles outbreaks in the late 1980’s and early 1990’s.<\/p>\n

Thanks to the VFC Program, measles cases dropped from 55,000 in 1991<\/a> to 137 in 2018<\/a>. I hate having to reiterate a point over and over, but measles isn’t some minor childhood disease, which can be ignored. About 30% of children who get the measles develop more serious complications, some that require hospitalization and admission to the ICU (and this is random, it’s not dependent upon whether your children ate organic apples or not).<\/p>\n

And 1-2 out every thousand children die of the disease. If we didn’t have a vaccination program, millions of children would catch the measles every year, and thousands would die. Nearly 200 children died from the measles in the outbreaks from 1989-1991.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"VFC<\/a>
VFC defeats measles!!!<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The VFC program is one of the great successes of public health, and very simple math can show that vaccines saved 700,000 children’s lives over the last 20 years. The brilliant and dedicated scientists at the CDC\u00a0estimated<\/a>\u00a0that the VFC program vaccinations<\/a>\u00a0have prevented\u00a0more than 21 million hospitalizations and 732,000 deaths among children born in the last 20 years. Just look at that number. Go find Baltimore on the map. Because VFC vaccines saved\u00a0more lives\u00a0than live in the city of Baltimore<\/a>.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

VFC saved money<\/h2>\n

The CDC also states that there would\u00a0net savings of $295 billion in direct health care costs and $1.38 trillion in total societal costs. There are some estimates that each critical care admission from a vaccine-preventable disease, such as measles, can be over US$142,000<\/a>. <\/span><\/p>\n

Moreover, the US healthcare system isn’t built for pandemics and epidemics. It’s estimated that the USA has around 2.0 critical care beds per 10,000\u00a0Americans<\/a>. If we suddenly throw a million hospitalizations from vaccine-preventable diseases into our current system, it would be overwhelmed leading to a higher death rate and costs that would bankrupt individuals, state and Federal government, and insurance companies. It would be a disaster of epic proportions.<\/span><\/p>\n

VFC saved lives<\/h2>\n

One of the myths pushed by the anti-vaccine activists is that vaccines are dangerous and don’t have any real effect on health, so why bother taking them. They claim that “natural” immunity (a preposterous and nonexistent kind of immunity), even getting infected by the pathogen itself, is the best way to protect against disease, and avoid mythical adverse events like autism<\/a>.<\/p>\n

These same vaccine deniers also dismiss the potential consequences of many of these vaccine-preventable diseases \u2013 either claiming they disappeared before vaccines showed up, or only genetically inferior children get really sick from vaccine-preventable diseases. Many of these pseudoscience pushers claim that they can take a few homeopathic (read, water) drops to cure the disease. In other words, all ignorant and pseudoscientific nonsense.<\/p>\n

So let’s use a peer-reviewed statistical and epidemiological analysis from one of the leading and most prestigious public health institutions in the world, whose only goal is to study and analyze infectious diseases so that they can save lives of all people of the world\u2013the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention <\/a>(CDC). They say that vaccines save lives, not just a few, but a few hundred thousand. And the math is very simple, so simple that a sixth-grade caveman could do it, that lives will be saved, that money will be saved, and that resources will be saved. How hard can it be to understand that?<\/p>\n

But, the anti-vaccine crowd\u00a0create all kinds of ad hominem<\/a>\u00a0attacks against the 15,000 highly educated and dedicated staff members of the CDC, many of whom have given their lives to public health service from the day they entered college. CDC staffers are usually the ones that risk their lives by flying out to investigate a new outbreak of a disease<\/a>. They’re the ones that spend tens of thousands of hours in labs trying to find the cause of a novel disease, and from that, try to prevent and\/or cure that disease.<\/p>\n

I will never understand the attacks on the CDC. But I think that the anti-vaccine forces dislike any group that promotes science in vaccines.<\/p>\n

Summary<\/h2>\n

It is incredible that the vaccine deniers, who\u00a0rely upon their Dunning-Kruger cognitive bias<\/a>\u00a0and a complete lack of evidence supporting their claims, pretend that they know more than the CDC. The CDC doesn’t care about these anti-vaccine radicals making fun of them, the CDC just goes out and saves lives. In the simple math of who is more valuable to the world, I’ll take the CDC.<\/p>\n

Let’s give thanks to Congress who, back in a day when they\u00a0actually worked together to help the nation, gave us the Vaccines for Children Program. Thanks to the CDC for administering this program and saving so many children’s lives. It’s a great day to learn that the good guys beat the evil diseases.<\/p>\n

Editor’s note: This article was originally published in April\u00a02014. It has been updated to fix some broken links, improve\u00a0formatting, and improve some language.<\/i><\/p>\n

Citations<\/h2>\n